Wednesday, February 24, 2016

LQ (11.30X20K) and KMI (17.60X20K) and 1M liquid asset

Decided to take the scary ride and follow Buffet's lead.

The story of KMI, major oil pipeline (I believe our backdoor neighbor is the funder), earning money not by oil price but by how much oil is pump via it pipelines.  The oil price now is low, around $30, but the volume of oil needed is increasing, especially now American is buying more big trucks.  There is no reason for KMI to be beaten down.  The fair price should be around $35, I plan to sell it by July at about $30, $12x20k will give me $240K. That will be nice!

The story of LQ, a Texas based hotel change, was similar to KMI, beaten down because it is in Texas.  It was recommended by an investment manager in NPR Nightly Business Review, it make sense to me (the NPR show often predicted wrong!).  I have been watching it around $10, bought it at $11.30, expect to sell when it is flattened or by the end of the year, for $20, that will get me $180K

the ERUS is not doing well, I got it around $13 now is $11, hi, Putin, work on being a good neighbor!
Plan is to sell around $18, will get $150k, but unlikely now.

The goal this year is to increase the liquid asset to $1M, then I can keep it in the account do wild projects with the earning.  We shall see. $700 + $240 + $180 + $150 = $127.


After working for public university for almost 20 years, I am lucky enough to have a pension to rely on.  I will get about $40k/year starting 2018, enough to live frugally, which I have been doing as a chosen lifestyle.  I believe with $40K pension, $60K from my real estates, $40K from vacation rental, it should be enough. Especially the benefit include health insurance for kids till they are 26.

 


Wednesday, February 17, 2016

NASDAQ:INVT and NASDAQ:LMFA from a broker long time ago

While I was a grad student and only has 20k to invest, SM called and tried to sell me some small IPO. Some took off and more bombed.  Early Feb 2016 he recommended INVT and LMFA, two very small company with unique business. Not sure I will take the risks into industries that I am not familiar with.

Will keep watch these.

Tuesday, February 16, 2016

KMI vs ERUS Buffet vs Tao

Buffet and I both see great opportunity in oil lately. I bought Russian ETF, he bought the oil refinery KMI Feb 16th. 

I predict both of us will earn at least 30% by the end of 2016. We shall see who is ahead. 

Thursday, November 26, 2015

Gild $125 by 2016 end - growth health care in bear market

The interest rate will be increasing soon. Historically it means stock price will fall, in a longer run. One obvious reason is that there is no longer cheap money to borrow and buy stock. 

One stock Gilead, is growing fast in health care and stock, at 107 and 9.6x of earning, seems undervalued. It time to buy. 

Friday, November 20, 2015

VRX and enough money - NXI, ASHR

VRX had a good pop and I sold it.  A bit too early but satisfied with the earning. Did not buy and NXI, it is dropping slowly.  It is highly recommend by the fool.com, I should look into it. My paypal stock is not doing well, bought at 39 and it is floating around 36-37.  Will have to wait for a longer term.

ASHR is the one I am watching closely, if Chinese economy is slowing down, but still grow at 6%, the stock should have 10--12% up side per year, especially the Chinese Yuan will be considered as international currency soon and the Chinese stock will be also part of international stock market.  There is a clear upside.  I am just waiting for an event or a big drop to enter it.

Financially, things are fine.  There is enough money for kids' education and retirements.  So the question is what else should I spend money on?  Should I become very conservative in my investments since even I get another mil, my quality of life won't be different much.

So how much to get for basic, comfortable in come, I define it as twice the average.  My basic idea:

$24K is poverty limit, three times that is middle class, $72K, three time of that is affluent, $216K.  While I am glad I am lucky enough to surpass that, more is becoming less meaningful.  I am sure I will be as happy earning $120K as earning $400K.  So how to get $10K per month?  My conservative calculation of monthly income at 60.

$3,000 - $4500 from pension
$3,000 - $4500 from vacation rental
$5,000 - $6000 from other rental properties
$2,000 - $3000 from SS
$1,000 - $2000 from IRA dividend

$14K-$20K / month
--------
That's about $160K-$240K per year.  It is enough.  What else do I need? lavish vacation? expensive cars? art collection?  Probably not.

Maybe personal assistant will help?

Monday, November 9, 2015

Invensense NXI VRX

Internet of things will be big - that lead to Fool recommend Invensens multiple times.  Currently at $12.

Valeant VRX is beaten down because of bad publicity, Ackman can't buy enough of it.

Should recommend both?  Probably.

Friday, January 16, 2015

The great secret of all human success - connection

There are many many theory of learning, what make it works, what make it enjoyable.
There are also many theories of happiness, such as in the book I am readying "The Happiness Hypothesis", some argue the happiness is from within, take things as they come, many believe the happiness is from without, getting things we want.

The enpiphy is, all these human enjoyment come from the same source - connecting with others.  

Learning with other students, even those one dislike, is far more effective and enjoyable than learning alone.  Almost everyone unhappy feel "disconnected" "lonely" "isoliated".

Being innovative has to be have rich, frequent and diverse connection with all type of people and ideas.  That is why a society celebrate diversity and loving each other will always out innovate the ones that enforce homogeneity and uniformity.

The good school connect students
and faculty, the great leaders connect all the follower to their mission and to each other.

How to building meanfully and long lasting connect become the secret formula of happiness, and all human achievement for that matter.

Connect!